Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 177.707487 194.432269 211.508889 230.219082 250.112485 270.602657 293.272659
2024-12-15 150.026522 174.995455 201.646514 232.083346 265.752805 301.733233 342.962300
2024-12-22 129.265719 160.142345 194.481081 235.186337 281.800520 333.200057 393.838926
2024-12-29 115.593160 151.344126 192.607009 243.149616 302.773862 370.270884 451.832133
2025-01-05 103.340312 142.609182 189.537069 248.768409 320.525234 403.654266 506.204317
2025-01-12 90.338707 131.414568 182.218252 248.224511 330.225193 427.281881 549.301866
2025-01-19 79.419857 121.599402 175.513361 247.485013 338.986192 449.408584 590.594737
2025-01-26 73.797766 118.072987 176.267289 255.723392 358.666121 484.853616 648.381180
2025-02-02 68.353552 114.163656 176.019018 262.297510 376.069325 517.558200 703.181575
2025-02-09 63.841644 111.060408 176.447264 269.465028 394.107088 551.138287 759.419129
2025-02-16 59.572914 107.858797 176.380340 275.707219 410.831565 583.142260 814.015882
2025-02-23 51.579473 98.279262 166.629339 268.044975 408.587153 590.451024 837.102658
2025-03-02 45.488593 91.165820 160.064717 264.601912 412.019815 605.403290 870.637090
2025-03-09 41.444012 86.951112 157.467797 266.577733 422.788257 630.119099 917.208172
2025-03-16 38.138408 83.632889 155.964445 269.960361 435.469732 657.517124 967.669966
2025-03-23 36.360549 82.763444 158.136386 278.735355 455.838907 695.510724 1032.623265
2025-03-30 34.173068 80.938652 158.635857 284.925510 472.577643 728.788024 1091.728049
2025-04-06 30.823817 76.627721 154.822932 284.314921 479.394061 748.507845 1132.864570
2025-04-13 27.772607 72.529028 151.047667 283.492518 485.721177 767.498166 1173.125809
2025-04-20 26.727579 72.242306 153.607179 292.584566 506.719954 807.088753 1241.755317
2025-04-27 25.447454 71.341741 155.023863 299.835081 525.055709 843.147938 1305.936522
2025-05-04 24.366657 70.731347 156.862641 307.735654 544.423752 880.828695 1372.670612
2025-05-11 23.201916 69.817772 158.084158 314.612179 562.316599 916.606685 1437.136805